The diplomatic advisor to the President of the United Arab Emirates, Anwar Gargash, estimated that there is a “fifty” chance of reaching an agreement between the United States and Iran, while warning of a possible return to hostilities if negotiations fail.
Speaking at an international conference in Prague, he stressed that any lasting solution must address the root causes of the conflict, and not just aim for a temporary ceasefire. He argued that a mere pause in the fighting could pave the way for further escalation.
These statements come amid a tense diplomatic climate, as several regional and international actors seek to de-escalate tensions between Washington and Tehran. The situation is particularly marked by persistent disagreements on security and strategic issues in the Middle East.
Anwar Gargash also warned that a resumption of fighting would further complicate the regional situation and have significant consequences for the economic and political stability of the area.
The Emirati advisor stressed the need for a comprehensive political solution, arguing that agreements limited to a simple ceasefire would not be enough to guarantee lasting peace.
He also called on European countries to consider the security of the Strait of Hormuz as a major strategic priority, due to its essential role in the global transport of oil and liquefied natural gas.
In a context of heightened tensions in the Middle East, these statements reflect the concerns of several regional actors regarding the risks of prolonged instability and its consequences for global energy markets.
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