For the first time in a decade, New Zealanders view the United States as a greater threat than China, according to a survey by the Asia New Zealand Foundation. This shift is attributed to growing concerns about disruptions to global trade and geopolitical instability.
The annual survey, now in its 29th edition, polled 2,300 people in January and February. It highlights a notable shift in perceptions of the two major powers, as New Zealand seeks to balance its international relations in the Indo-Pacific region.
According to the results, 39% of respondents consider the United States a friendly country, while 35% perceive it as a threat. Conversely, 43% of those surveyed believe China is a friend of New Zealand, compared to 23% who see it as a threat.
The report highlights that the perception of the United States has deteriorated significantly over the past year, while China's image has improved slightly. This development occurs within a context where Wellington maintains strategic relations with Washington while remaining heavily dependent on trade in Asia.
Despite these contrasting perceptions, a large majority of New Zealanders—81%—believe it is important to strengthen ties with Asia. The executive director of the Asia New Zealand Foundation, Suzannah Jessep, emphasizes that the country's prosperity and security will depend on the quality of its relations with the region.
The study also highlights the economic pressures influencing public opinion, including US tariffs affecting New Zealand exporters and the impact of energy price fluctuations linked to international conflicts. According to David Capie, these economic factors play a central role in how New Zealanders assess their security and alliances.
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