The threat of a prolonged conflict with Iran dominates the US president's visit Donald Trump in China and is causing profound diplomatic upheaval in the Middle East, according to several officials and analysts interviewed by Reuters.
As Washington seeks to increase pressure on Tehran, regional balances are shifting rapidly. Israel and the United Arab Emirates have reportedly intensified their security cooperation, while several Gulf states are conducting strikes against Iranian-backed militias in various countries across the region.
The crisis is also affecting global energy markets. The International Energy Agency warns of a potential shortfall of 3,9 million barrels of oil per day by 2026 if current disruptions in the Gulf persist.
In this context, Donald Trump is trying to secure increased diplomatic support from China in order to exert influence over Iran and limit regional escalation. However, several analysts believe that Beijing is unlikely to fully adopt the American position, particularly given its energy and trade interests with Tehran.
US Vice President JD Vance nevertheless mentioned "progress" in some ongoing negotiations, without giving further details on the diplomatic discussions taking place in parallel with the presidential visit.
This new phase of the conflict appears to be reshaping traditional alliances in the Middle East and intensifying rivalries between major powers. Between military tensions, energy issues, and strategic repositioning, the Iranian crisis now appears as one of the main drivers of global geopolitical instability.
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