Angola: The IMF warns of public debt nearing its medium-term ceiling
Angola: The IMF warns of public debt nearing its medium-term ceiling

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) warned on Friday that Angola's public debt is likely to reach its ceiling in the medium term, calling on the authorities to adopt more prudent fiscal management in a context of strong dependence on oil revenues.

According to the IMF, the recent rise in oil prices has temporarily improved Angola's access to international financial markets. This positive development partially offsets the decline in revenue linked to the drop in oil production, the country's main source of income.

However, the international institution believes that Angola's gross financing needs are likely to increase in the coming years. It emphasizes that public debt is expected to reach the ceiling set by national legislation regarding medium-term fiscal sustainability.

The IMF therefore recommends that the Angolan government continue its efforts to consolidate its fiscal policy and strengthen its debt management. The objective is to reduce the country's vulnerability to fluctuations in oil prices, which significantly impact its public finances.

The report comes after the conclusion of Angola’s annual Article IV review, a regular economic surveillance exercise conducted by the IMF with its member countries.

The southern African nation could nevertheless benefit in the short term from rising oil prices, fueled by international geopolitical tensions. While Angola's 2026 budget was based on an assumption of $61 per barrel, Brent crude is currently trading above $100, offering a temporary respite to public finances.

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