2027 Presidential Election: Pollsters reject the idea of ​​using opinion polls to differentiate between candidates

With less than two years until the presidential election, the idea of ​​selecting a candidate based on opinion polls is gaining traction in some political camps. However, this prospect is met with strong reservations from opinion polling professionals, who refuse to become the arbiters of internal party competitions.

As the primaries appear increasingly contested on the right, center, and left, several political leaders are considering using opinion polls to decide between the presidential candidates. Within the center, this possibility is being discussed in particular to determine the outcome between the ambitions of Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal.

Polling institutes denounce a false solution

For specialists in the field, such a method would have many limitations. They point out that voting intentions remain particularly volatile several months before a presidential election and that no poll can reliably predict the course of a campaign or the impact of major political events.

Pollsters also point out that a primary election generally helps to create political and media momentum around the chosen candidate. In their view, opinion polls are a tool for assessing a situation at a given moment, but cannot replace democratic debate or the traditional selection process of political parties.