Presidential election 2027: Bardella and Le Pen dominate voting intentions

Opinion polls published in recent days paint an unequivocal picture for the 2027 presidential election. Jordan Bardella and Marine Le Pen They dominate the top spots in voting intentions, confirming the National Rally's enduring presence in the French political landscape. Both the Cluster17 barometer for Le Point and the Ifop-Fiducial poll converge on this diagnosis: the national right has established itself as the leading political force. Éric Ciotti also ranks among the most popular figures with the French, illustrating the ongoing realignment on the right of the political spectrum.

Macron excluded by the Constitution

The election is expected to take place in the first half of 2027, with the first round scheduled for April 11 or 18 and the second round for April 25 or May 2, according to the constitutional calendar. Emmanuel MacronRe-elected in 2022 after a first term that began in 2017, he will not be able to run for a third consecutive term due to the term limit enshrined in the Constitution since 2008. This planned absence of the incumbent president reshuffles the political landscape in a context where the centrist bloc is showing significant signs of weakening. Édouard Philippe, the leading figure of this political family, is achieving results that fall short of his stated ambitions.

Glucksmann is making progress on the left

The social-democratic left, embodied by Raphaël Glucksmann, is showing gains in the polls, even if it remains far behind the National Rally's scores. Purchasing power remains a central concern for the French, an issue on which the National Rally has built part of its platform. Unless there is a constitutional amendment before the election, the 2027 campaign will take place without the incumbent president, an unprecedented situation since the introduction of the five-year presidential term and the two-term limit.